Monday, January 07, 2008

SC6's New Hampshire Prediction: Not Too Many Surprises..



You are looking LIVE at Lake Winnipesaukee in The Granite State....... Okay, maybe it's not live. We're in the last few hours before voters hit the polls in New Hampshire, where they have a habit of showing how wrong the caucusers in Iowa are. Yes, they'll be voting from Portsmouth to Manchester to Concord to...... are there any other towns there ?? With the large number of independent voters, there are expected to be a lot of crossover votes, particularly between Barack Obama and John McCain. The question is: Will enough go one way to hurt the other? Uh, probably not.



Democrats:
Spurred on by his win in Iowa, Barack Obama is riding a wave right now, and it may not stop until Super Tuesday. With most voters unhappy with partisan politics, Obama is viewed as outside of the loop - incorrect as that view may be. Hillary Clinton will do fine with the established party, and John Edwards will lag pretty far behind, since the Unions aren't around to finance him. Obama 42%, Clinton 33%, Edwards 17%.

Republicans:

Unlike Iowa, the GOP has the more interesting race here. John McCain is trying to repeat his win from 2000, and Mitt Romney is attempting to regain the lead he had from his neighboring state. Again, with all the independents, which are usually centrists, McCain's maverick image will beat Romney's conservative stance. My surprise pick? Ron Paul's army will beat Rudy Giuliani, and come close to Mike Huckabee, with Fred Thompson bringing up the rear.

McCain 35%, Romney 26%, Huckabee 15%, Paul 11%, Giuliani 8% Thompson 5%.

On to Michigan and SOUTH CAROLINA !!

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2 comments:

Anonymous said...

believe i got iowa right have to think on this one

Anonymous said...

McCain 33
Romney 30
Huckabee 13
Giuliani 12
Paul 8
Thompson 3